Sunday, December 7, 2008

Conclusive?



91% + 8.76% = 99.76%
.24% miss chance per shot
5.28 expected misses @ 2200 shots
0 actual misses @ 2200 shots

91% + 7.87% = 98.87%
1.13% miss chance per shot
11.3 expected misses @ 1000 shots
1.3 expected misses @ 1000 shots IF the miss rate is 8% (not 9%)
1 actual miss @ 1000 shots

4 comments:

Neggles said...

yeah, dunno

waiting for the blue post

Pike said...

These past couple of days as more stories like that come rolling in I've been encouraged to finally let go of some of my hit stuff and replace it with stuff that was better but sans-hit. Mmmm yummy.

I am actually a little over-capped at this point but I'm okay with that-- because Focused Aim does not affect pet hit, so... =|

SmokY said...

Umm... Your math seems to be wrong :-)

Chance to miss per shot is 0.24%, or 0.0024, so the expected misses over 2200 shots are 5.28... Easily in RNG territory :-)

If you have time to burn, an interesting experiment would be if you get your hit around 7.5% - that would be 33 expected misses if the hit cap is 9% and 11 if the cap is 8%...

Rilgon Arcsinh said...

...Yeah, you're right, it's wrong. That's what I get for doing math while somewhat drunk/tired. *sigh*